PunditScore
PREDICTION MARKETSCOST-EFFICIENT INTELLIGENCE

Your edge in prediction markets

See whose predictions have actually proven reliable — every score traces back to specific predictions, related real-world outcomes, and how they fared in the prediction markets.

131
Prediction market calls
88
Forecasters scored
64
Calls that beat the market
39 by more than a matched price
68%
Top 10% panel accuracy
vs 47% for the rest

39 calls that clearly beat the price the crowd was paying

29 forecasters · 11 market questions · 27 more matched the crowd within ±0.02 and 131 are tracked in all — every one of them is in “all calls”

Mark Zandi
government shutdown 2025
+0.571
So Uehara
government shutdown 2025
+0.570
Polymarket traders
government shutdown 2025
+0.545
Jan Hatzius
Negative US GDP growth 2025
+0.331
Christophe Barraud
Negative US GDP growth 2025
+0.331
Torsten Sløk
Negative US GDP growth 2025
+0.331
David Friedberg
Negative US GDP growth 2025
+0.331
Mark Zandi
Negative US GDP growth 2025
+0.308
Mark Zandi
Negative US GDP growth 2025
+0.308
Jason Tang
Bank of England rate cut 2025
+0.245
Marina Azzimonti
tariff revenue up in Q4 2025
+0.221
Lindsey Piegza
tariff revenue up in Q4 2025
+0.221
Maximiliano A. Dvorkin
tariff revenue up in Q4 2025
+0.221
Malik Thompson
tariff revenue up in Q4 2025
+0.221
Jeff Ferry
tariff revenue up in Q4 2025
+0.221
Scott Bessent
tariff revenue up in Q4 2025
+0.221
Christophe Barraud
tariff revenue up in Q4 2025
+0.221
Mark Zandi
tariff revenue up in Q4 2025
+0.221
Mark Zandi
tariff revenue up in Q4 2025
+0.221
Nancy Pelosi
government shutdown 2025
+0.186
Michael T. Owyang
recession 2025
+0.182
Diane Swonk
Negative US GDP growth 2025
+0.171
WhisperTick
government shutdown 2025
+0.140
Jens Weidmann
ECB rate cut 2025
+0.112
Doug Duncan
Canada recession 2025
+0.109
Mitch McConnell
government shutdown 2025
+0.082
Jan Hatzius
recession before May 2025
+0.062
Jordan Bernstein
Magnificent 7 falls below 25% of the S&P 500 2025
+0.053
Christophe Barraud
Magnificent 7 falls below 25% of the S&P 500 2025
+0.053
Stephen Juneau
Trump removes Jerome Powell as Fed Chair 2025
+0.051
Torsten Sløk
recession 2025
+0.050
Vlad Chernikov
government shutdown 2025
+0.046
Philip Swagel
recession 2025
+0.042
David Solomon
recession 2025
+0.034
Haelim Anderson
tariff revenue up in Q4 2025
+0.034
Mark Zandi
recession 2025
+0.034
Torsten Sløk
recession 2025
+0.034
Federico Cuevas
Magnificent 7 falls below 25% of the S&P 500 2025
+0.027
David Rosenberg
Fed emergency rate cut 2025
+0.024
0.570+0.57
Beat the crowd
Pundit Panel
Every scored pundit, ranked, with the evidence behind each call.
Methodology
How a score is produced, and where the noise sits.